COOL SUMMER LOOKS LIKELY TO CONTINUE FOR CALIFORN IA

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The latest long range outlooks hint that the delightfully cool summer we’ve been experiencing, not only here in the North Bay but also statewide, may continue. As of July 30th, the long range models do not forsee intense high pressure moving into the state, the kind of setup that typically brings heat waves to California.

Instead the forecasts suggest the state may continue to be in the “goldilocks zone”, in between high and low pressure.

This is reflected in the 30 day outlooks that cover the month of August.

Here are the temperature anomaly forecasts… essentially the departure from average expected for the period. Both of the major models, the GFS and the European show our temperatures remaining within a few degrees of average for the month of August.

That doesn’t mean we won’t be hotter than average at times, but rather any heat should be balanced by a return to cooler than normal weather. Also, these are long range outlooks, so they can be less than reliable. But the agreement between the models gives us more confidence in the relatively cool long range outlook.

Here is the European model, looking forward 32 days.