BIG STORM FOR CALIFORNIA THURSDAY

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Perhaps the most prolific statewide storm yet this season looks to arrive across California very early on Thursday, spreading significant rain over the entire state by the weekend.

The big storm will be preceded by a smaller one on Wednesday that will mostly miss us to the south.

Right on its heels the Thursday storm will bear down on California from the west, focusing the heaviest rain on the Central Coast. Rain will arrive across the North Bay in the early morning hours on Thursday.

The storm will have a pretty healthy moisture feed and will bring lots of rain and snow to (so far this winter) very dry areas of the state.

A few models like the Canadian are going a little nuts with this storm, skewing the rainfall filgures upward. You can see that here on the National Blend of Models.

So we’ve gone with the European model (below) which seems to be more reasonable in terms of rainfall for us in the North Bay, especially based on current trends.

Here in the North Bay the storm should be a good rain maker, but the brunt of the storm this time will be from the South Bay Area to Southern California, especially in the coastal ranges and the Sierra.

We should see rainfall totals in the 1-3 inch range, with up to 4 inches in the hills.

After that the upcoming weekend looks nice. Here may be a small storm that brushes us on Monday the 17th, but after that the storm track looks to shift north into the Pacific Northwest.